Arsip Kuliah Umum・Semester Genap 2012/2013
201303/29Jum Kuliah Umum

Correlated Defaults with Information Feedback

Prof. Harry ZhengLondon Imperial College, UK 上午 10:00–11:00 Gedung Hongjing 107 室
摘要: We suggest a generic first passage time model with random barrier and information feedback for default times of a portfolio of correlated names, which includes well-known structural and intensity models and opens up new research problems. We illustrate the idea with a copula contagion mixture model and show that contagion and correlation have enormous joint pricing impact on portfolio credit derivatives and CVAs, especially on senior tranches.